000
WTPZ32 KNHC 290553
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026
1100 PM MST Mon Sep 28 2026
...POLO MAKES LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR JUST SOUTH OF LAS
BARRANCAS...
...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING ONGOING...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 112.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM N OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF MULEGE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe
* East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Bahia San Juan
Bautista
* Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to
Punta Eugenia
* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San
Evaristo
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to
Punta Eugenia.
* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San
Evaristo.
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should have
already been completed.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
next 12 hours.
Interests in the remainder of Baja California Sur, and the remainder
of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo is making
landfall now on the west coast of Baja California Sur just south of
Las Barrancas near latitude 25.9 North, longitude 112.2 West. Polo
is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion
with a gradual acceleration is anticipated through Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the core of Polo will continue moving across Baja
California Sur tonight, then move inland over southern Sonora
Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is expected while Polo travels over land
during the next few hours, but Polo is still expected to be a
hurricane when it makes its second landfall in mainland Mexico.
Rapid weakening is forecast on Tuesday when Polo moves well inland
over mainland Mexico.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue across Baja California Sur
in the warning area during the next several hours, and these
conditions are possible in the watch area tonight. In mainland
Mexico, hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area early Tuesday morning.
A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and
far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late Tuesday
and Tuesday night in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office for additional information.
RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 12
inches across portions of Baja California Sur. Rainfall totals of 4
to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 expected across southern and
central portions of Sonora. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Polo will affect portions of the coast of
the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico during the
next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please consult products
from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
This independent tracker brings official storm observations and forecasts together in one map. It follows Polo, storm EP172026, in the 2026 eastern Pacific season.
Where is Hurricane Polo now?+
In the NHC advisory issued Sep 29, 2026, 06:00 UTC, Polo’s center was reported at 25.9°N, 112.2°W. It was moving northeast at 13 mph. This is a reported observation, not a continuously measured live position. Read official advisory
Where is Hurricane Polo headed?+
The forecast issued Sep 29, 2026, 06:00 UTC places Polo’s center near 27.7°N, 110.9°W at Sep 29, 2026, 12:00 UTC, with sustained winds of 86 mph. These are forecast positions, not confirmed landfall locations. The path and intensity can change with each advisory. View forecast
Is Hurricane Polo real?+
This page tracks Polo under NHC identifier EP172026 in the 2026 eastern Pacific season. Its observations and forecasts are linked to official NHC products. The data status indicates whether the record is active, saved or archived. Read official advisory
What category is Polo? Is there a Category 6 hurricane?+
At Sep 29, 2026, 06:00 UTC, the available NHC record classified Polo as Category 2 hurricane, with sustained winds of 110 mph. The official Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale has Categories 1–5. Category 6 is not an official NHC classification. The scale describes sustained wind, not flooding or storm surge. NHC hurricane wind scale
Will Hurricane Polo hit California or Southern California?+
Check the latest NHC forecast for the center’s path and the official local forecast for your California city. Being outside the cone does not rule out hazardous weather. Regional outlook
Does this tracker show Hurricane Polo radar?+
The map shows reported storm positions, the forecast track, uncertainty cone and coastal warnings. It does not display a radar precipitation layer. Use the official NWS radar for available U.S. radar coverage. Official NWS radar
How often does the tracker update?+
The site checks NHC data every 15 minutes and when you refresh. Observations and forecasts change when NHC issues a new product. The issue time and the site’s last check are displayed separately.
What does the forecast cone mean?+
The cone represents uncertainty in the future path of the storm’s center. It is not a boundary for rain, wind, flooding or storm surge. Hazardous weather can occur outside the cone.
Are Spanish and Portuguese available?+
The interface, storm summaries and explanations are available in English, Spanish and Portuguese. Original NHC bulletin text is presented in English and linked to its source.
What happens after Polo dissipates?+
The page becomes an archive and keeps the last available official observations and track. Forecast points are identified by their original issue time.
03 / Regional outlook
Hurricane Polo: Mexico, Cabo & California
Use the dated storm track together with official local forecasts. A center track alone does not describe every wind, rainfall or coastal hazard.
Hurricane Polo in Mexico & Cabo San Lucas
Cabo San Lucas is in Baja California Sur, Mexico. Check the named coastal warning areas below and the SMN forecast for local conditions. A warning elsewhere in Baja California Sur does not automatically cover Cabo San Lucas.
Coastal warning areas in the NHC bulletin issued Sep 29, 2026, 06:00 UTC:
Hurricane warning3
West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe
East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Bahia San Juan Bautista
Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito
Hurricane watch3
West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia
East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San Evaristo
Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
Tropical storm warning3
West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia.
East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San Evaristo.
Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo
Area names are reproduced from the English NHC bulletin.
Will Hurricane Polo hit California or Southern California?
Baja California and Baja California Sur are in Mexico; California and Southern California are in the United States. Keep these locations separate when reading storm reports. Rain, surf and remnant moisture can have different impacts from a hurricane-center landfall.
Check the latest NHC forecast for the center’s path and the official local forecast for your California city. Being outside the cone does not rule out hazardous weather.